Etna volcano (Italy): increased seismic activity, M3.9 quake in the Valle del Bove

Earthquakes under Etna volcano during the past 7 days, with today's M3.9 event seen as the larger red dot on the east flank

Earthquakes under Etna volcano during the past 7 days, with today's M3.9 event seen as the larger red dot on the east flank

An earthquake of magnitude 3.9 hit below Etna’s eastern flank this morning at 08:49 local time at shallow depth of only 4 km and was felt in nearby towns such as Zafferana, Santa Venerina, Milo.
No immediate change in volcanic activity has been detected, although such events, even if originally tectonic in nature, can trigger underground movements of magma. Interestingly, the volcano’s seismic activity has been picking up lately: already 3 days earlier, on 18 Oct 2026, an earthquake swarm occurred under the volcano’s western flank in the mid-to-upper slope.
The latest report by the volcano observatory in Catania indicates that on that day, 20 earthquakes were detected with magnitudes of 1.0 or greater in total, including 4 quakes greater than magnitude 2.0 and one of magnitude 3.3 at 04:20 UTC approximately 600 meters southwest of Monte Minardo at a depth of 6.3 kilometers. On 19 and 20 Oct, the volcano was more quiet with only two small events detected, a magnitude 1.2 earthquake near Monte Fontane and an a magnitude 1.8 event near Maletto.

Most monitored parameters at Etna such as ground deformation, degassing rates, overall thermal radiation (as observed via satellite data), infrasonic events (indicating degassing events or explosions deep inside the conduits) have not shown significant variations in the past few weeks, meaning that there is currently no indication that a new eruption is imminent.

However, as often happened, this situation can change very quickly at Etna volcano. Along with the increased seismic activity, volcanic tremor is showing a weak, but consistent slowly increasing trend while fluctuating between low and medium levels. Overall, the volcano is showing signs of instability and the potential of renewed activity in the near future remains rather high.

Detailed map of the current configuration of summit vents at Etna (source: INGV report 20 Oct 2026)

Detailed map of the current configuration of summit vents at Etna (source: INGV report 20 Oct 2026)

Sangay Volcanic Ash Advisory: ash plume to 23,000 ft (7,000 m) as of Oct 21, 10:50 UTC

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 23000 ft (7000 m), or flight level 230.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVXX23 at 11:22 UTC, 21/10/26 from KNES
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261021/1119Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090
PSN: S0200 W07820

AREA: ECUADOR

SOURCE ELEV: 17342 FT AMSL

ADVISORY NR: 2026/699

INFO SOURCE: GOES-19. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS.

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONT VA EMS

OBS VA DTG: 21/1050Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL230 S0156 W07845 - S0200 W07820
- S0202 W07820 - S0206 W07845 - S0156 W07845 MOV
W 10KT

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 21/1700Z SFC/FL230 S0150 W07843
- S0201 W07820 - S0202 W07820 - S0200 W07846 -
S0150 W07843

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 21/2300Z SFC/FL230 S0144
W07840 - S0201 W07820 - S0202 W07820 - S0153
W07845 - S0144 W07840

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 22/0500Z SFC/FL230 S0153
W07841 - S0200 W07820 - S0202 W07820 - S0203
W07841 - S0153 W07841

RMK: CONT VA EMS OBSD ON STLT IMG MOVG W EXT
APPRX 30NMI FM SUMMIT. NWP MDLS FCST GEN WNW MVMT
THRU T+18 ...BUTLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20261021/1715Z

Krakatau Volcanic Ash Advisory: ash plume to 8,000 ft (2,400 m) as of Oct 21, 05:00 UTC

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 8000 ft (2400 m), or flight level 080.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVAU04 at 05:25 UTC, 21/10/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261021/0525Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: KRAKATAU 262000
PSN: S0606 E10525
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 155M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/243
INFO SOURCE: CVGHM, HIMAWARI-9
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL080 MOV WEST
OBS VA DTG: 21/0500Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL080 S0604 E10528 - S0609 E10528 - S0615
E10515 - S0602 E10511 MOV W 20KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 21/1100Z SFC/FL080 S0604 E10527 - S0608
E10528 - S0638 E10435 - S0619 E10357 - S0541 E10358 - S0530
E10503
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 21/1700Z SFC/FL080 S0605 E10528 - S0608
E10528 - S0641 E10437 - S0617 E10356 - S0541 E10359 - S0530
E10503
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 21/2300Z SFC/FL080 S0604 E10527 - S0608
E10528 - S0641 E10436 - S0616 E10356 - S0541 E10401 - S0530
E10503
RMK: VA ERUPTION IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HEIGHT
BASED ON IR TEMP OF 15.6 DEGREES CELSIUS. MOVEMENT BASED ON
CONSENSUS MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20261021/1125Z=

White Island Volcanic Ash Advisory: ash plume to 5,000 ft (1,500 m) as of Oct 21, 03:17 UTC

Satellite image of White Island volcano on 21 Oct 2026

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Wellington warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 5000 ft (1500 m), or flight level 050, and moving at 10 kts in E direction.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVPS01 at 03:17 UTC, 21/10/26 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261021/0317Z
VAAC: WELLINGTON
VOLCANO: WHAKAARI/WHITE ISLAND 241040
PSN: S3731 E17711
AREA: NEW ZEALAND
SOURCE ELEV: 294M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/44
INFO SOURCE: H9 SAT IMAGERY, WEBCAM
ERUPTION DETAILS: ERUPTION AT 20261018/1944Z CONTINUOUS LOW
LEVEL ERUPTION.
OBS VA DTG: 21/0317Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL050 S3734 E17709 - S3727 E17709 - S3716
E17750 - S3736 E17738 MOV E 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 21/0917Z SFC/FL050 S3734 E17709 - S3726
E17709 - S3709 E17812 - S3739 E17744
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 21/1517Z SFC/FL050 S3731 E17704 - S3722
E17711 - S3712 E17744 - S3745 E17723
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 21/2117Z SFC/FL050 S3729 E17702 - S3719
E17711 - S3730 E17729 - S3748 E17710
RMK: ASH VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HEIGHTS AND MOVEMENT
BASED ON MODEL WINDS AND MODEL SOUNDING.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20261021/0917Z=