Kategorie: Climate Change

Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 15000 ft (4600 m) altitude or flight level 150 and is moving at 05 kts in N direction.
The full report is as follows:

FVAU02 at 22:06 UTC, 04/01/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20260104/2250Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: SEMERU 263300
PSN: S0806 E11255
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 3657M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/16
INFO SOURCE: CVGHM, HIMAWARI-9
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL150 LAST REPORTED AT 04/2114Z
EST VA DTG: 04/2150Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0809 E11247 – S0754 E11246 – S0750
E11300 – S0800 E11308 – S0812 E11301 MOV N 05KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 05/0350Z SFC/FL150 S0812 E11300 – S0809
E11247 – S0752 E11246 – S0748 E11301 – S0801 E11309
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/0950Z SFC/FL150 S0812 E11300 – S0809
E11247 – S0753 E11246 – S0748 E11301 – S0801 E11309
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/1550Z SFC/FL150 S0812 E11251 – S0806
E11245 – S0753 E11246 – S0749 E11301 – S0802 E11309 – S0811
E11301
RMK: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE ON RECENT SAT IMG DUE TO MET CLOUD.
GND REPORTS INDICATE INTERMITTENT DISCRETE EMISSIONS ARE
ONGOING. VA HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON GND REPORTS AND
MODEL GUIDANCE. LOW CONFIDENCE IN FCST DUE TO LIGHT AND VRB
WINDS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20260105/0450Z=

Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report:

FVAU01 at 17:30 UTC, 04/01/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20260104/1750Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: IBU 268030
PSN: N0129 E12738
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 1325M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/17
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-9, CVGHM
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA ERUPTION TO F060 REPORTED AT 04/0822Z
EST VA DTG: 04/1730Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL060 N0131 E12734 – N0133 E12740 – N0120
E12754 – N0107 E12744 – N0113 E12729 MOV S 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/2330Z SFC/FL060 N0133 E12740 – N0120
E12754 – N0106 E12744 – N0113 E12729 – N0130 E12733
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/0530Z SFC/FL060 N0133 E12740 – N0119
E12756 – N0103 E12746 – N0111 E12729 – N0130 E12733
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/1130Z SFC/FL060 N0133 E12740 – N0119
E12756 – N0103 E12747 – N0111 E12729 – N0130 E12733
RMK: VA CURRENTLY UNIDENTIFIABLE ON LATEST SATELLITE IMG DUE
TO MET CLOUD, HOWEVER RECENT GROUND REPORT SUGGESTS AN
ONGOING ERUPTION. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST ARE BASED ON LATEST
HIMAWARI-9 SAT IMG, GROUND REPORT AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20260104/2350Z=

Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Wellington warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 5000 ft (1500 m) altitude or flight level 050 and is moving at 10 kts in NW direction.
The full report is as follows:

FVPS01 at 13:01 UTC, 04/01/26 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20260104/1301Z
VAAC: WELLINGTON
VOLCANO: AMBAE 257030
PSN: S1523 E16750
AREA: VANUATU
SUMMIT ELEV: 1496M
ADVISORY NR: 2026/9
INFO SOURCE: H9 SATELLITE
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: UNKNOWN
ERUPTION DETAILS: ERUPTION AT 20260104/0130Z LOW LEVEL
ERUPTION
OBS VA DTG: 04/1301Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL050 S1526 E16756 – S1528 E16743 – S1501
E16731 – S1407 E16746 – S1426 E16821 MOV NW 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/1901Z SFC/FL050 S1528 E16758 – S1528
E16741 – S1456 E16727 – S1427 E16747 – S1429 E16820
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/0101Z SFC/FL050 S1527 E16757 – S1527
E16741 – S1456 E16726 – S1429 E16745 – S1446 E16813
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/0701Z NO VA EXP
RMK: MAIN ERUPTION APPEARS TO HAVE STOPPED 06Z, SMALL AMOUNT
ON ONGOING ASH, TOPS AND FORECAST LOCATIONS BASED ON EC
MODEL.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20260104/1901Z=

Satellite image of Semeru volcano on 4 Jan 2026

Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 15000 ft (4600 m) altitude or flight level 150 and is moving at 05 kts in NE direction.
The full report is as follows:

FVAU02 at 09:57 UTC, 04/01/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20260104/1010Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: SEMERU 263300
PSN: S0806 E11255
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 3657M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/14
INFO SOURCE: CVGHM, HIMAWARI-9
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL150 LAST REPORTED AT 03/2322Z
EST VA DTG: 04/0950Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0813 E11301 – S0813 E11248 – S0802
E11245 – S0754 E11254 – S0802 E11303 MOV NE 05KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/1550Z SFC/FL150 S0813 E11300 – S0812
E11247 – S0800 E11247 – S0755 E11257 – S0802 E11305
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/2150Z SFC/FL150 S0809 E11248 – S0756
E11248 – S0752 E11259 – S0801 E11307 – S0812 E11300
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/0350Z SFC/FL150 S0812 E11300 – S0809
E11247 – S0756 E11247 – S0752 E11259 – S0801 E11307
RMK: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE ON RECENT SAT IMG DUE TO MET CLOUD.
GND REPORTS INDICATE INTERMITTENT DISCRETE EMISSIONS ARE
ONGOING. VA HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON GND REPORTS AND
MODEL GUIDANCE. LOW CONFIDENCE IN FCST DUE TO LIGHT AND VRB
WINDS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20260104/1610Z=

Satellite image of Ibu volcano on 4 Jan 2026

Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report:

FVAU01 at 05:43 UTC, 04/01/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20260104/0450Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: IBU 268030
PSN: N0129 E12738
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 1325M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/14
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-9, CVGHM
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA ERUPTION TO F070 REPORTED AT 04/0518Z
EST VA DTG: 04/0430Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL070 N0132 E12741 – N0130 E12743 – N0124
E12743 – N0120 E12734 – N0126 E12723 – N0133 E12731 MOV SW
05KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/1030Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/1630Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 04/2230Z NO VA EXP
RMK: VA CURRENTLY UNIDENTIFIABLE ON LATEST SATELLITE IMG DUE
TO MET CLOUD, HOWEVER RECENT GROUND REPORT SUGGESTS AN
ONGOING ERUPTION. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST ARE BASED ON LATEST
HIMAWARI-9 SAT IMG, GROUND REPORT AND MODEL GUIDANCE.VA
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20260104/1050Z=