Kategorie: Climate Change

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 21000 ft (6400 m), or flight level 210, and moving at 10 kts in NE direction.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVXX25 at 06:08 UTC, 15/10/26 from KNES
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261015/0606Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090
PSN: S0200 W07820

AREA: ECUADOR

SOURCE ELEV: 17342 FT AMSL

ADVISORY NR: 2026/678

INFO SOURCE: GOES-19. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EMS OBS

OBS VA DTG: 15/0530Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 S0156 W07823 - S0200 W07819
- S0201 W07820 - S0159 W07826 - S0156 W07823 MOV
NW 15KT SFC/FL280 S0029 W07747 - S0040 W07731 -
S0044 W07735 - S0035 W07750 - S0029 W07747 MOV NE
10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 15/1130Z SFC/FL210 S0150 W07826
- S0201 W07819 - S0202 W07820 - S0157 W07832 -
S0150 W07826 SFC/FL280 N0017 W07732 - N0004
W07711 - S0001 W07714 - N0011 W07737 - N0017
W07732 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 15/1730Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 15/2330Z NO VA EXP

RMK: REMNANT VA CLD OBS IN STLT IMG AT APPRX 95NM
FM SUMMIT. ONGOING VOL INCANDESCENT ACTIVITY SEEN
IN WEBCAM. NWP MDL GUIDANCE FCSTS GEN N MOVMT AT
FL280 AND NW MOVMT AT FL210 THRU T+6. HGT BASED ON
MOVMT AND NWP MDLS. ...MONAGHAN

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20261015/1200Z

As of 02:41 UTC on 15 October 2026, no volcanic ash was detected from Popocatépetl. Satellite imagery and reports indicate no identifiable ash cloud, and no further advisories are expected.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVXX23 at 02:55 UTC, 15/10/26 from KNES
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261015/0253Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SOURCE ELEV: 17693 FT AMSL

ADVISORY NR: 2026/357

INFO SOURCE: GOES-19. NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: NO VA DTCTD

OBS VA DTG: 15/0241Z

OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM SATELLITE
DATA.

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 15/0830Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 15/1430Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 15/2030Z NO VA EXP

RMK: VA EMS NOT OBS IN STLT IMG UNDER PARTLY
CLOUDY CONDITIONS. NO RCNT RPRTS OF VA RCVD.
...MONAGHAN

NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 14000 ft (4300 m), or flight level 140.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVAU02 at 23:58 UTC, 14/10/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261015/0000Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: SEMERU 263300
PSN: S0806 E11255
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 3657M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/1178
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-9, CVGHM, WEBCAM
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL140 OBS AT 14/2340Z MOV W
OBS VA DTG: 14/2340Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL140 S0803 E11258 - S0810 E11258 - S0812
 E11201 - S0738 E11209 MOV W 20KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 15/0540Z SFC/FL140 S0803 E11258 - S0810
 E11258 - S0815 E11201 - S0742 E11206
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 15/1140Z SFC/FL140 S0803 E11258 - S0810
 E11258 - S0815 E11201 - S0752 E11203
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 15/1740Z SFC/FL140 S0803 E11258 - S0810
 E11258 - S0815 E11201 - S0740 E11208
RMK: MULTIPLE DISCRETE VA EMISSIONS IDENTIFIABLE ON
 SATELLITE IMAGERY. HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON SATELLITE
 IMAGERY, GROUND REPORTS AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20261015/0600Z=

Satellite image of Dukono volcano on 14 Oct 2026

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 7000 ft (2100 m), or flight level 070.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVAU01 at 19:29 UTC, 14/10/26 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261014/1930Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: DUKONO 268010
PSN: N0142 E12754
AREA: INDONESIA
SOURCE ELEV: 1229M AMSL
ADVISORY NR: 2026/877
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-9
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA OBS TO FL070 AT 14/1910Z, MOV W
OBS VA DTG: 14/1910Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL070 N0135 E12757 - N0133 E12716 - N0156
 E12714 - N0207 E12733 - N0147 E12800 MOV W 05KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 15/0110Z SFC/FL070 N0134 E12756 - N0133
 E12708 - N0213 E12711 - N0213 E12745 - N0154 E12805
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 15/0710Z SFC/FL070 N0137 E12756 - N0131
 E12716 - N0210 E12723 - N0150 E12759
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 15/1310Z SFC/FL070 N0138 E12758 - N0124
 E12743 - N0126 E12719 - N0158 E12724 - N0148 E12758
RMK: VA IDENTIFIABLE ON CURRENT RGB SAT IMAGERY. VA HEIGHT
 AND MOVEMENT BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20261015/0130Z=

Explosive activity continues. The Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned of a volcanic ash plume rising to an estimated 20000 ft (6100 m), or flight level 200.
Original VAAC bulletin:

FVXX23 at 15:02 UTC, 14/10/26 from KNES
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20261014/1459Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SOURCE ELEV: 17693 FT AMSL

ADVISORY NR: 2026/355

INFO SOURCE: GOES-19. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: NEW VA EMS 

OBS VA DTG: 14/1446Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1907 W09849 - N1901 W09837
- N1900 W09836 - N1857 W09850 - N1907 W09849 MOV
W 10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 14/2100Z SFC/FL200 N1903 W09937
- N1902 W09837 - N1900 W09835 - N1847 W09936 -
N1903 W09937 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 15/0300Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 15/0900Z NO VA EXP

RMK: NEW VA EMS OBS ON WEBCAM TO ABOUT FL200
AROUND 1440Z. VA OBS IN STLT MVG W FM SUMMIT. NWP MDLS
SUG A WSW MVMT THRU T+6 ...EVANS

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20261014/2100Z